Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.192060 0.270404 0.358812 0.463751 0.582976 0.712570 0.862548
2025-11-02 0.087986 0.182102 0.306387 0.470360 0.671697 0.903632 1.184687
2025-11-09 0.032421 0.114988 0.245642 0.435331 0.682752 0.979598 1.350185
2025-11-16 0.005724 0.065844 0.191524 0.395205 0.677319 1.028538 1.478346
2025-11-23 0.000033 0.040772 0.163149 0.382218 0.700300 1.107104 1.637413
2025-11-30 NaN 0.028413 0.151816 0.390954 0.750020 1.217622 1.834254
2025-12-07 NaN 0.016674 0.134578 0.386493 0.779014 1.300010 1.995213
2025-12-14 NaN 0.006911 0.112235 0.368770 0.786228 1.352178 2.117053
2025-12-21 NaN 0.005488 0.116564 0.398355 0.862553 1.495496 2.353821
2025-12-28 NaN 0.004413 0.121378 0.428663 0.939977 1.640420 2.592880
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002539 0.119202 0.444922 0.996000 1.756652 2.795548
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002582 0.129346 0.485561 1.089259 1.923180 3.062653
2026-01-18 NaN 0.001964 0.134777 0.518896 1.174755 2.083756 3.328206
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000509 0.127294 0.525801 1.220202 2.191257 3.527466
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.100841 0.488638 1.194763 2.200714 3.599422
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.075157 0.445927 1.156879 2.190751 3.644506
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.063159 0.432079 1.163816 2.241582 3.767409
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.060286 0.441396 1.209061 2.346154 3.960771
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.052937 0.436640 1.229905 2.415899 4.108145
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.041945 0.417725 1.225170 2.448497 4.205954
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.046646 0.449284 1.308740 2.607961 4.472326
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.051583 0.481545 1.393580 2.769342 4.741387
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.051933 0.498824 1.452209 2.893152 4.960685